Scenario-based early warning
The European Asylum Support Office (EASO) of the European Union in Malta wishes to think through the future of migration and asylum law in alternative scenarios. Z_punkt is commissioned to carry out the process.
In a first step, Z_punkt conducts interviews with experts from migration-related research areas. In all STEEP sectors, the influencing factors are first identified. From the long list of influencing factors, the key factors are determined in a workshop. In a further workshop with high-ranking experts, projects are developed and the central actors in the respective projections are identified. Z_punkt then develops five scenarios in close coordination with EASO.
The scenarios cover a broad spectrum of possibilities for the future and sharpen the view for weak signals that might otherwise not receive enough attention in the present.