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Public Sector

Scenario-based early warning

Public Sector
Consulting Service
Strategic Foresight
European Asylum Support Office (EASO)
Services Provided by Z_Punkt

Strategic Foresight

The European Asylum Support Office (EASO) of the European Union in Malta wishes to think through the future of migration and asylum law in alternative scenarios. Z_punkt is commissioned to carry out the process.

In a first step, Z_punkt conducts interviews with experts from migration-related research areas. In all STEEP sectors, the influencing factors are first identified. From the long list of influencing factors, the key factors are determined in a workshop. In a further workshop with high-ranking experts, projects are developed and the central actors in the respective projections are identified. Z_punkt then develops five scenarios in close coordination with EASO.

The scenarios cover a broad spectrum of possibilities for the future and sharpen the view for weak signals that might otherwise not receive enough attention in the present.

Szenariobasierte Frühwarnung

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